REGIONAL DYNAMICS AND CONFLICT SPILLOVER IN NORTH AFRICA: ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF FOREIGN MILITARY INTERVENTION IN LIBYA

Abstract

This study delves into the regional dynamics and conflict spillover in North Africa, with a primary focus on assessing the impact of foreign military intervention. The intricate interplay of political, economic, and security factors in this volatile region necessitates an in-depth analysis of how foreign military involvement shapes the dynamics of conflicts and their potential repercussions beyond national borders. This study adopts the theory of intervention, to understand the complexities of the regional dynamics and the impact of foreign military interventions in North Africa, particularly in Libya. By employing a comprehensive framework of qualitative methodology, this research aims to shed light on the multifaceted aspects of conflict spillover and its ramifications for regional stability and assess the consequences of foreign military intervention on state fragility, social cohesion, and governance structures within North African countries. The study considers various dimensions of the impact, including the exacerbation of existing grievances, the militarization of conflicts, the proliferation of arms, the fragmentation of societal cohesion, and the displacement of populations. It also explores how interventions have affected state institutions, governance structures, and social dynamics, ultimately influencing the stability of North African nations; particularly in Libya. Elucidating the interconnections between domestic conflicts and external military interventions, the study underscores the complex relationship between foreign military intervention, stability, and intrastate conflicts in North Africa, emphasising that these interventions significantly affected the political stability of North Africa; increasing intrastate conflicts and violence in the region. The study thus recommends the prioritisation of diplomatic and political solutions over military interventions, focusing on inclusive dialogue and conflict resolution mechanisms.